While the supply-side has sprung back at least in the large organised sectors, the demand side continues to remain broken. The demand constraints will pose a challenge to the recovery process
The employment rate fell from 37.6 per cent in March to 36.8 per cent in April
Consumer sentiments have been battered particularly badly during the last three weeks
Low employment rates and low labour participation rates leave enough people free to participate in endless political rallies and mammoth religious congregations
The RBI Current Situation Index has been negative in all surveys conducted in the past four years except the one in March 2019
The March 2021 RBI Bulletin states that household financial savings in India shot up to 21% of GDP in the first quarter of 2020-21
The livelihoods cost of a lockdown is too high. Average household incomes fell by 9.2% in March 2020 and by 27.9% in April 2020 as a result of the lockdown. The impact of that brutal lingers
The festive season is over and demand for most consumer durables has weakened. Companies are therefore testing a difficult market as they seek to protect their margins
Indian women work a lot. But, their work is predominantly at home, in service of other members of their household
Consumer sentiments are important because they reflect the intangible component of households' economic decisions
Employment in India is still lower than it was before the lockdown, but there are lesser unemployed people willing to work as well. The recovery is still incomplete but, we made good progress in Jan
Compared to a year ago, employment in January 2020 was lower by 9.8 million
India's better-than-expected recovery story was scripted by households, and not government spending or private sector investments
Manufacturing accounted for 40 million jobs in 2019-20. In the first quarter this dropped to 24.6 million, implying a loss of over 15 million manufacturing jobs
Economic recovery either stopped in the third quarter or it stopped showing up in recovery in employment
The count of the unemployed mounted to 38.7 million in December 2020 compared to 27.4 million in November, registering a massive increase of 11.3 million
Wages account for a relatively small proportion of the total expenses of corporates in India
Weekly estimates for the first three weeks of December indicate a likely marginal improvement in aggregate employment compared to November
Given that men continue to be considered as the principal earning member of a household, women are unlikely to accept poor quality jobs
It appears that the recovery phase of employment is over and a decline is setting in again