Having raised policy rates to about 6 per cent, does India's Monetary Policy Committee need to do more? And, if so, is more front-loading warranted?
CASA occupies a 45% share in overall bank deposits; it is FDs, which make the remaining 55%, which will need the rate adjustment
MPC may decide RBI's response to govt on the matter; Unlike earlier off-cycle meetings in which interest rate action was taken outside schedule without prior notice, this one was announced in advance
The announcement notifying an additional meeting of the MPC has been made as per Section 45ZI (4) of the RBI Act 1934, the RBI said on Thursday
The MPC hiked the policy repo rate by 50 basis points (bps) to 5.9 per cent in the last policy review, announced on September 30
RBI Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Ashima Goyal on Wednesday said that the efforts of the Reserve Bank to contain price rise by repeatedly increasing interest rates will help in containing inflation, which is likely to fall below 6 per cent next year. Goyal further said that the policy rate hikes have largely reversed pandemic-time cuts but the real rate remains low enough not to hurt the growth recovery. "With a lag of two-three quarters, higher real rates will reduce demand in the economy. "International commodity prices are softening with the global slowdown and supply chain bottlenecks have reduced," she told PTI in a telephonic interview. In order to control rising inflation, the RBI on September 30, raised the short-term lending rate for the third consecutive time by 50 bps to take the repo rate to 5.9 per cent. Since May it has cumulatively increased the key interest rate by 190 basis points. "The Indian government is also taking action to reduce supply-side inflati
Balances of Rs 10 cr and above to earn 3% rate of interest Oct 15 onwards; 2.7% rate unchanged on deposits below Rs 10 cr
Central bank's MPC has cumulatively increased the repo rate by 190 bps since May
India's central bank should pause interest rate hikes, despite unacceptably high inflation, to avoid stalling a recovery in economic growth, monetary policy committee member Jayant Varma said
India's most hawkish rate-setter said the policy rate was reaching a level that allows past aggressive action to cool inflation without inflicting too much pain on the economy
In a Q&A, she says the interest differential with US does not matter so much because India has caps on interest sensitive inflows. Overseas investment is a very low share of the country's debt market
The next review of the monetary policy committee is scheduled on December 5-7
The MPC is of the view that further calibrated monetary policy action is warranted to keep inflation expectations anchored
The central bank will now have to provide a report to the government explaining the reasons for the failure and the steps to be taken
The MPC believes that there is growth momentum due to better farm production, government policies to boost capex, improvement in business and consumer sentiment
In 2019, when retail inflation was 3%, the policy rate was 5.75%. Now inflation hovers around 7% and the policy rate is 5.9%. It needs to move up
RBI which announced the review of policy today, decided to increase the policy repo rate by 50 bps to 5.9%
The MPC also cut its FY23 GDP growth forecast to 7 per cent from 7.2 per cent, with Governor Shaktikanta Das acknowledging that there were downside risks to economic growth
Finally, the RBI is right in not providing a forward guidance in the current uncertain environment but providing a detailed explanation of keeping the stance unchanged
Central bank will have to write to government explaining the reasons of its failure to contain inflation up to 6%