Analysts say the Rs 20-trn stimulus package by govt a lost opportunity
The rapid and widening spread of the Covid-19, deteriorating global economic outlook, falling oil prices, and financial market turmoil are creating a severe and extensive economic and financial shock
This would mean a contraction of 1-2 per cent for entire FY21, against the agency's earlier projection of -1 per cent to 1 per cent
This week, a total of 17 companies are scheduled to announce their quarterly earnings which includes HCL Technologies, Kansai Nerloac Paints, and YES Bank among others
The government officially extended India's lockdown by another two weeks to May 17 on Friday evening
Its parent Standard & Poor's has (S&P) forecast the world economy to contract 2.4 per cent, against its earlier estimates of 0.4 per cent growth.
According to the SBI Ecowrap report, the extension of the lockdown would result in economic loss of Rs 21.1 trillion or 6 per cent of the nominal Gross Value Added (GVA).
Subramanian, along with public policy expert Devesh Kapur of Johns Hopkins University, was speaking at a webinar organised by National Council of Applied Economic Research.
Earlier, ICRA had expected GDP to fall by 4.5 per cent in the first quarter when lockdown was for 21 days till April 14.
RBI failed to gauge a greater-than-anticipated contraction in gross-fixed capital formation and continuing weak activity, especially in the rural areas.
"The potential slowdown of the economy will be determined by the duration of the lockdown, and the economic policy choices taken to ensure a safe recovery," said Tanvee Gupta Jain
Business Standard brings to you the top headlines of the day
Four out of the six parameters- investment rate, bank credit offtake, industrial production of capital goods and new investment projects are pointers to deteriorating investment scenario
This compares to 5 per cent growth in 2019
Total loss in output is estimated to be around Rs 6 trillion based on estimated GDP at current prices for FY20
Falling GDP in China is virtually unprecedented and, in the near term at least, these numbers look worse than most previous hypothetical 'hard-landing' scenarios
According to the United Nations World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) 2020, a growth rate of 2.5 per cent is possible in 2020
The ADB said growth would pick up to 6.5 per cent in 2020-21 with "supportive" policies, but also said it would be lower than its earlier forecast of 7.2 per cent for the fiscal year
Says forces driving up inflation 'appear to be transient'
The RBI on Thursday kept repo rate unchanged at the current 5.15% level but revised GDP growth projection for the current financial year 2019-20 to 5%