Investors have waited six quarters for signs of the proverbial green shoots that indicate a turnaround in the business cycle
The finance minister reckons the GST could be rolled out by April 2017. This might be optimistic, given the amount of legislative coordination required. Whenever GST does come into force, some chaos is guaranteed
Uncertainty is almost guaranteed in post-Brexit UK and EU. Something similar is expected in the US if Trump becomes President. Back home, what is certain is that GST will either be passed or shelved. A super-normal monsoon seems to be the only near-definite possibility
That, along with policy meetings of the central banks of a few countries, will likely set the trend for the markets for the rest of the year
In terms of momentum and technical trends, the market is upbeat. But Brexit and the US Federal Reserve may upset calculations
While the UK will possibly go into recession, the bigger fear is copycat referendums from other EU nations. Back home, Raghuram Rajan's successor at Mint Road will have his or her work cut out
The market is back to being optimistic. A good monsoon, prospects of an early passage of the Goods and Services Tax Bill, along with low energy prices and a dovish Fed, will keep spirits up. But niggling worries could play party pooper
The Indian economy has behaved like a desert flower, doing well even as the global mood has turned gloomy. But with global growth set to slow further, India is likely to be dragged down also
If you take the combination of weak manufacturing trends, lower-than-expected inflation and an overvalued rupee, a rate cut by the RBI certainly seems obvious