Markets feel that US central bank's aggressive rate hike cycle may be nearing an end
The subdued price moves followed a rally in stocks and a sharp drop in the U.S. dollar in the previous session when the consumer prices data showed a slowdown in inflation
After raising interest rates by 75 basis points at four successive meetings, the US central bank is widely expected to deliver a 50 bp increase later in the day
The domestic unit settled at 82.54 to the dollar on Monday, from 82.28 at previous close. So far in 2022, the Indian currency has shed 9.9% against the greenback
MUMBAI (Reuters) - The Indian rupee and government bond yields are likely to take cues from the outcome of the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting on Dec. 14, one of a host of high-profile, potentially market-moving economic events in the week.
They're also likely to signal another 50 basis points of tightening next year, according to economists, and an expectation that once they reach that peak, they'll stay on hold through all of 2023
The trading activity in the domestic equity market this week will be largely driven by a host of macroeconomic data announcements and the US Fed interest rate decision, analysts said. Industrial Production data and retail inflation rate are scheduled to be announced on Monday. Besides, wholesale inflation data will be released on Wednesday. "This week is going to be crucial in terms of global cues, where the US inflation numbers and the outcome of US Fed policy decision will be the most important events for the market. "On the domestic front, our industrial production and retail inflation numbers will be announced on December 12, while wholesale inflation numbers will be announced on December 14," said Santosh Meena, Head of Research, Swastika Investmart Ltd. Apart from this, news flows from China, the movement of crude oil prices and the dollar index will be other important factors. Institutional flows also need to be watched, as FIIs have been net sellers for the past week, Meena
The Indian rupee rose on Friday, but gains were capped due to dollar demand amid a slump in the greenback
So far in 2022, the Fed has hiked rates by a total of 375 bps, leading to a stronger dollar and diminishing the appeal of emerging market assets
Douglas W Diamond, winner of this year's Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences, says it is difficult to predict exchange rates but the rupee should stabilise once the US "reduces the speed of its rate increases". In an email interview to PTI, the American economist also said that when the US raises exchange rates unexpectedly, the dollar tends to appreciate and things will normalise when interest rates are closer to each other in the US and India. Diamond, a Merton H Miller Distinguished Service Professor of Finance at the University of Chicago's Booth School of Business, shared the Nobel Prize with former US Federal Reserve Chair Ben Bernanke and US-based economist Philip H Dybvig for their research into the fallout from bank failures. According to the Nobel panel at the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences in Stockholm, their research has shown "why avoiding bank collapses is vital". Asked about the continuous fall of the Indian rupee against the USD dollar, Diamond says, "It is
"It is way too early to conclude that inflation is headed sustainably down," Christopher Waller, US Federal Reserve Governor
As dollar index breaches key technical levels, outlook on rupee improves
The data boosted other currencies against the dollar. The Japanese yen at one point climbed to its biggest single-day rise since 2008 and the British pound notched its biggest daily
At 1 PM (IST) on Friday, Bitcoin was trading at $20,591, up 2 per cent in the past seven days, and Ethereum was at $1,579, showing a jump of 5 per cent in the same period
After the Russia-Ukraine war, fresh geo-political tensions are brewing in other regions too. Will these global worries affect markets globally? Are they a bigger worry than central bank policy action?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.46% to 32,001.25, the S&P 500 lost 1.06% to 3,719.89 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.73% to 10,342.94
In September review, panel talked about aggressive monetary policy actions and stances across the world
The rupee depreciated 8 paise to 82.88 against the US dollar in morning trade on Thursday after the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates and maintained a hawkish stance. At the interbank foreign exchange, the domestic unit opened at 82.87 against the dollar, then lost further ground to quote at 82.88, registering a loss of 8 paise over its previous close. In initial trade, the local unit also touched 82.84 against the American currency. On Wednesday, the rupee settled at 82.80 against the American currency. According to Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury, Finrex Treasury Advisors, the US Fed's commentary was not dovish at all. "Oil was higher at USD 95.50 per barrel while GBP and Euro were lower after the hawkish FED comments." The rupee could trade in the range of 82.50-83.20. "Exporters may sell dollars at 83 levels keeping a close watch on RBI while importers may continue to buy all dips they get," Bhansali said. Meanwhile, the dollar index, which gauges the greenback's
For the past few months the MPC's and the governor's conduct has pointed at the war in Ukraine as the main reason for inflation staying above 6 per cent for three consecutive quarters
From Fed rate hikes to deadlock over carrier's revival, here are the top headline for the day