Nomura cuts 2023 India GDP forecast to 4.7% amid recession fears

Despite the government's recent fiscal steps to counter inflation, Nomura believes, there are upside risks to inflation from the continued pass-through of higher input costs

Nomura has cut its 2023 forecast for economic growth in India, as measured by the gross domestic product (GDP), to 4.7 per cent from its earlier projection of 5.4 per cent amid recession fears and rising interest rates.

"Exports have started to struggle, while elevated imports are pushing up monthly trade deficits to record highs. Higher inflation, monetary policy tightening, dormant private capex growth, the power crunch and the global growth slowdown pose medium-term headwinds. Consequently, we lowered our 2023 GDP growth projection from 5.4 per cent to 4.7 per cent," wrote Sonal Varma, chief economist for India and Asia