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Japanese brokerage Nomura on Friday said Reserve Bank's 6.5 per cent real GDP growth estimate for FY24 is too optimistic, and the central bank will pivot to rate cuts from October. The brokerage said it agrees with the Reserve Bank's projections on price rise, and said that the worst of headline inflation is behind us. "However, the revised GDP growth forecast of 6.5 per cent in FY24 appears too optimistic, the brokerage said, adding that it estimates growth to slow down to 5.3 per cent. A slew of agencies and analysts has cut the FY24 growth forecasts in the recent past, with many of them pegging it under 6 per cent as well. Nomura said it expects a downside of over 1 percentage point to the RBI's growth estimate on weaker global growth, high uncertainty and the lagged effects of domestic policy tightening. The RBI had attributed the upward revision in growth to a dip in crude oil prices to USD 85 per barrel as against USD 90 per barrel. After announcing the policy, Governor ...
India Inc cheered the Reserve Bank's stance to hold key interest rate on Thursday terming it a "prudent" move in the wake of headwinds emanating from global banking stress and said the move will improve business sentiments by containing the rise in borrowing costs. Industry bodies cautioned that any further hike in the benchmark repo rate at this juncture would have affected India's economic growth even as domestic demand impulses remain healthy. Sanjiv Bajaj, President, CII said the industry body agrees with the central bank's observation that the lagged impact of the past rate hikes should be allowed to percolate into the system, and not stifle demand by further rate hikes. Though the domestic demand impulses remain healthy, headwinds from the global banking stress have gained pace, hence it was important for the central bank to remain cautious in its stance. This move by RBI will help bolster business sentiments by containing the rise in borrowing costs which have constricted th