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S&P Global Ratings on Monday kept its forecast for India's economic growth unchanged at 6 per cent in the fiscal year starting April 1, before rising to 6.9 per cent in the following year. In the quarterly economic update for Asia-Pacific, S&P saw inflation rate easing to 5 per cent in 2023-24 fiscal, from 6.8 per cent in the current financial year. It saw India's gross domestic product (GDP) likely growing by 7 per cent in the current financial year ending March 31 (2022-23), before slowing to 6 per cent in the next 2023-24 fiscal. "India leads, with average growth of 7 per cent in 2024-2026," the update said. GDP is projected to rise to 6.9 per cent in the following two financial years -- 2024-25 and 2025-26 and rising to 7.1 per cent in 2026-27. "In India, domestic demand has traditionally led the economy. But it has become more sensitive to the global cycle lately, in part due to rising commodity exports; and its year-on-year GDP growth slowed to 4.4 per cent in the fourth
/ -- India became the fifth largest economy of the world, overtaking the UK and is set to become the third largest by 2029. According to the IMF (International Monetary Fund), India is expected to leap further ahead of the UK up to 2027 - making it the fourth largest economy by that time. The recent geo-political re-alignments coupled with global supply chain issues provide an opportunity for the country to become a global manufacturing hub. Organizations are focusing on de-risking their supply chain dependencies and are exploring newer markets to bolster their manufacturing capabilities. This shift creates a conducive environment for India, which is the most suited candidate to establish itself as the next best destination owing to its strategic geographical location, infrastructure and skilled workforce. Sharing his views, Alexander Reisch, Managing Director, IPM India,opined, "India is poised to become the preferred destination for manufacturing and is paving its way to becoming a
Chief economist at State Bank of India has revised downward the full-year growth forecast to a low 6.8 per cent from 7.5 per cent earlier for FY2023, citing "the way below GDP numbers for the first quarter". The National Statistical Office on Wednesday released the Q1 growth numbers which showed a consensus growth of 13.5 per cent, pulled down by the poor show of the manufacturing sector, which reported a paltry 4.8 per cent expansion in the first three months of FY23, negating the robust show by the services sector. Consensus forecast was 15-16.7 per cent of which the RBI made the highest forecast of 16.7 per cent. SBI group chief economic adviser Soumya Kanti Ghosh had also forecast a 15.7 per cent growth for the first quarter. The economy from the gross value added (GVA) also fared much lower than forecast, logging in only 12.7 per cent. At 13.5 per cent, real GDP growth has declined by 9.6 per cent sequentially, but the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth series shows pick-up