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Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran on Thursday said the global uncertainty has been rising after the recent developments in the United States and governments, businesses and individuals should keep 'margins of safety' in fiscal, corporate and savings account planning. He said the global growth estimates of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) given in January looks outdated and countries will have to watch what the developments in the US over the last week would do to confidence, bank lending growth and the subsequent chain effects. Two banks in America have gone belly up over the last week. Signature Bank, New York, which lent mostly to crypto industry was shut down by the regulators on Sunday after there was a run on their deposits. Besides, the failure of Silicon Valley Bank last week left many startups, tech companies, entrepreneurs and VC funds nervous and jittery. SVB, the 16th largest bank in the United States, was closed on Friday last by the California Department
Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran on Wednesday said the performance of the manufacturing sector and growth rate in private consumption expenditure in the December quarter of 2022-23 is appearing 'depressed' because of higher base. According to Nageswaran, the GDP growth base was inflated due to data revision for the past three years. The National Statistical Office (NSO) on Tuesday revised GDP growth data for the past three years -- 2019-20, 2020-21 and 2021-22 and also released the second advance estimates of GDP for 2022-23. While the growth rate for 2021-22 has been revised up by 40 basis points to 9.1 per cent, from 8.7 per cent, the GDP for 2020-21 (Covid impacted year) too has been revised upwards to (-) 5.8 per cent, from (-) 6.6 per cent. For 2019-20 also, the growth has been revised upwards to 3.9 per cent, from 3.7 per cent. However, the second advance estimates for 2022-23 real GDP growth was retained at 7 per cent -- as was projected in first advance estimate