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Developing economies in Asia have mostly regained ground lost during the pandemic but are seeing their recoveries stall as productivity lags, the World Bank said in a report released Friday. The report forecasts that growth in the region including China will pick up pace this year after the world's No. 2 economy relaxed pandemic restrictions on travel and other activities. But recoveries elsewhere in the region, excluding China, will moderate as pressures of inflation and growing household debt slow consumer spending, it said. Across the Asia-Pacific, economies are expected to grow at a 5.1% annual pace this year, up from 3.5% in 2022, the report said. But not including China, growth is expected to slip to 4.9% in 2023 after a rebound from the worst of the pandemic of 5.8% in 2022, it said. Major Asian economies like Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam will see their recoveries slow and meanwhile face risks from weakening global growth, spillover from the war in Ukraine a
The war in Ukraine has affected the Asian economy broadly in terms of trade and financial market uncertainties and inflation, a top IMF official said on Tuesday, warning that going forward the risk of fragmentation was quite serious in the Asia Pacific region. If you look at the (Ukrainian) war itself, there are multiple channels through which it has affected Asia. One, of course, is the falling external demand. Asia doesn't have many strong trade links with Russia. But Asian trade links with Europe are pretty high. To the extent that Europe is affected significantly by the war in Ukraine, it affects external demand for countries in Asia, Krishna Srinivasan, Director Asia and Pacific Department, International Monetary Fund (IMF) told PTI in an interview. The second area is on food and commodity prices, which have increased significantly since the war, he said. They had already gone up during the pandemic but had been intensified in the context of the war. That has implications for .