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The rate of India’s GDP contraction in the July-September quarter of 2020-21 has come down to a respectable 7.5 per cent, after an unprecedented 24 per cent contraction in the previous quarter. While this is a positive sign, reflecting the onset of an economic revival, it’s not all good news. The bad news is that now it is almost impossible for the country to register a growth in GDP this financial year. In order to avoid a negative growth in full 2020-21, India will need to register a real GDP growth of over 15 per cent in each of the two remaining quarters. That may just not be possible in the present economic scenario.
The rate of India’s GDP contraction in the July-September quarter of 2020-21 has come down to a respectable 7.5 per cent, after an unprecedented 24 per cent contraction in the previous quarter. While this is a positive sign, reflecting the onset of an economic revival, it’s not all good news. The bad news is that now it is almost impossible for the country to register a growth in GDP this financial year. In order to avoid a negative growth in full 2020-21, India will need to register a real GDP growth of over 15 per cent in each of the two remaining quarters. That may just not be possible in the present economic scenario.