Sugar price declines 4% in the world and 2.5% in India in two weeks; Maharashtra seek incentives on tradable quantity from Uttar Pradesh mills.
Balrampur Chini, Dalmia Bharat Sugar, Dhampur Sugar, Uttam Sugar, Dwarikesh Sugar and Thiru Arooran were up in the range of 5% to 13% on the BSE, as compared to 0.45% decline in Sensex at 01:24 PM.
Closing stock at the end of the year will still be very high despite improvement in exports
The sugar output is now seen at 32 million tonnes for the season that began on Oct. 1, down from its previous forecast of 35-35.5 million tonnes
The government has already announced several incentives in the past few months to allow sugar mills get rid of surplus stocks
Mills in Brazil have sharply turned to ethanol production to take advantage of better financial returns than those seen in sugar sales
NFCSF has lowered its production forecast for the 2018/19 crop year to 32.4 million tonnes, including 9.7 million tonnes for Maharashtra
Thiru Arooran Sugars, Dwarikesh Sugar Industries, Uttam Sugar Mills, Dalmia Bharat Sugar and Industries and Ponni Sugars (Erode) were up in the range of 14% to 20% on Monday.
Thiru Arooran Sugars, KCP Sugar & Industries and Bajaj Hindustan Sugar were up more than 10% as compared to 0.21% decline in the S&P BSE Sensex at 11:13 am.
The sector must undergo market reform
Lenders have been conservative in sanctioning limits for the crushing season 2018-19
The production in Maharashtra is pegged higher at 11-11.5 million tonnes against 10.71 million tonnes
In the current season, that is 2017-18, UP's sugar production was around 12 mt on the back of higher production and a rise in recovery ratio of 10.87%
With the average cost of production around Rs 3,600 a quintal, mills say their losses will widen
While GST is a key revenue generator, it should not be used as a tool to alleviate sector/commodity related issues, as that would lead to significant changes in the GST structure
The current year is expected to end with a closing stock of 10 mt, even if mills export a million tonnes. The estimate for a year later is a possible sugar surplus of 17-18 mt
With the supply surplus situation anticipated to continue in SS 2019 as well, a further build up in arrears cannot be ruled out
CCEA also announces creation of a buffer stock of 3 million tonnes for one year, which will be at an estimated expenditure of Rs 11.75 billion
Local sugar prices have dropped to their lowest in 28 months,
This will be in addition to the financial assistance of Rs 5.50 per quintal of sugarcane announced a few weeks ago, costing over Rs 15 billion