RBI last month allowed importers and exporters to pay in the partially convertible rupee, a move widely seen as making trade with Russia and South Asian neighbours easier instead of relying on dollars
Whether the recent strength in the currency will sustain or not depends on the monetary policy trajectory of the Reserve Bank of India, foreign flows, and crude oil prices, experts said.
The US dollar index, a measure of the currency against six major rival pairs, was at 105.67 around 6.15 pm IST on Tuesday. It had climbed to a 20-year high of 108.54 in late July
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Softening of crude oil prices reduces upside risks to India's inflation, given that the country is among the biggest importers of the commodity
India's Manufacturing PMI rose to 56.4 in July compared to 53.9 in June, and this also supported the rupee
The rupee strengthened by 13 paise to 79.11 against the US dollar in opening trade on Monday. Forex traders said the rupee opened stronger as the dollar continued to fall on account of a less aggressive US Fed and falling crude oil prices. At the interbank foreign exchange, the rupee opened at 79.16 against the US dollar and touched 79.11 in initial deals, registering a rise of 13 paise over the last close. In the previous session, the rupee had closed at 79.24 against the US dollar. The dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.14 per cent to 105.75. Global oil benchmark Brent crude futures fell 0.97 per cent to USD 103 per barrel. According to Anil Kumar Bhansali, Head of Treasury, Finrex Treasury Advisors, the rupee is likely to trade in the range of 79 to 79.40. "The market awaits the RBI MPC to give its rate signals on August 5," Bhansali said. On the domestic equity market front, the 30-share Sensex was trading 188.86 p
What led to such record outflows? "Rising global central banks' rates, rupee depreciation, expensive valuations and geopolitical risks," says BofA in a note.
Pakistan is striving to stave off fears it will follow Sri Lanka into a default this year
Dollar index falls as a contraction in US GDP eases Fed hike fears
Markets perceive Fed as being less hawkish
To be fair, the RBI has broadly done well in terms of managing the currency since the outbreak of the pandemic
Fed Chair Powell's comments suggest slower pace of hikes going ahead, say markets
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RBI needs to be fourth buyer in the bond market, says senior executive
Next few quarters will be tough for IT sector
Rupee weighed down by expectations of an aggressive rate hike by the US Federal Reserve
RBI's interventions and a less hawkish view on US Federal Reserve among factors that help currency
The discussions were held ahead of the RBI's next monetary policy statement, scheduled August 5
Reserve Bank of India's foreign-exchange reserves have fallen by about $30 billion since the end of May to $573 billion, according to its data