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Steel-makers are in for better times from the second half of the current fiscal as lower input cost and robust domestic demand will ease their margin pressure and lift operating margins to over 25 per cent, as per a report. The industry was hit by high input costs in the first quarter and is still under pressure in the ongoing second quarter, the rating agency said in the report. As a result, their operating margins of primary steelmakers are likely to fall to 14-16 per cent in the first half of this fiscal -- massively down from 30 per cent last fiscal, which was a decadal best -- due to high input costs, lower realisations and imposition of export duty on finished steel products, among other reasons, Crisil added. However, from the second half onwards the margin pressure is expected to ease due to lower production costs because of declining raw material prices and steady realisations backed by robust domestic demand, lifting it above 25 per cent, the report said. This will have t
The rising commodity prices expose India to macro risks including on the already elevated inflation and growth fronts, a foreign brokerage said on Thursday. There has been 14 per cent jump in oil prices to USD 83 per barrel and 15 per cent rise in coal rate to USD 200 per metric tonne, analysts at Morgan Stanley said. This rise in energy prices, specifically oil, has prompted concerns of higher inflation, slower growth and whether this could lead to disruptive monetary policy tightening, they said. They added that there are upside risks to inflation, and growth will only improve from a two-year compounded annual growth rate, which will lead to normalisation of the policy. Inflation will move back toward 5.5 per cent by the quarter ending March 2022 after remaining below the 5 per cent mark in the next few readings, it said, noting that a continued rise in energy prices, specifically oil, increases inflation risks. Assuming a complete pass through, a 10 per cent rise in oil prices