Last close: 18,371.60 (Range Bound)
Such price behavior implies that the index is likely to persist within a circumscribed range for a substantial duration, in the range between R1 (19000) and S1 (17450). A decisive violation of this range, in either direction, shall provide a clear indication of a trend reversal and offer a further trajectory of the trend.
A sharp rally of over 4 per cent that was observed in the preceding three trading sessions portends that the imminent trend is likely to be bullish. Moreover, the bullish momentum is reinforced by the convergence of MACD signal line and price line, which exhibits an upward slope and imminent to intersect.
In light of these considerations, it is advisable that traders adopt a strategy of purchasing near support and selling near resistance, as previously described until a decisive trend reversal or breakdown transpires.
Last close: 3,898.20 (Sell on the rise)
As per the principle of price action, a substantial resistance level is anticipated to be in the vicinity of 4,025 to 4,120, with a difference of 95 points being a crucial juncture for this index, as a breach of this level would likely lead to a higher trajectory with subsequent resistance levels in the range of 4,250 to 4,330.
However, it must be noted that a definitive change in trend is only probable with the index closing above 4,420. Until then, the prevailing bearish trend, marked by decreased peak and trough levels, shall be considered as a sell-on-rise pattern.
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