The dollar pulled back from strong overnight gains while oil took a pause from Monday's retreat
Talk of persistent rate hikes by US Fed officials also drags rupee lower
Markets currently see an 87% chance of a 50-basis point hike at the Fed's December meeting
"It is way too early to conclude that inflation is headed sustainably down," Christopher Waller, US Federal Reserve Governor
The Federal Reserve may have to raise its benchmark interest rate much higher than it has previously projected to get inflation under control, James Bullard, who leads the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, said Thursday. Bullard's comments raised the prospect that the Fed's rate hikes will make borrowing by consumers and businesses even costlier and further heighten the risk of recession. Wall Street traders registered their concern by sending stock market futures further into the red early Thursday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down about 330 points shortly before trading began. Bullard's remarks followed speeches by other Fed officials in recent days that suggested they see only limited progress, at most, in their use of steadily higher rates to fight inflation. The Fed's key short-term interest rate has not yet reached a level that could be justified as sufficiently restrictive, Bullard said. To attain a sufficiently restrictive level, the policy rate will need to be
The rupee settled at 81.65 per US dollar on Thursday as against 81.31 per dollar at previous close
The euro was down 0.33% against the dollar at $1.036 at 1045 GMT, after hitting its highest level since July at $1.048 on Tuesday
But gold could drift higher into year-end if the dollar remains weak overall and yields continue to drift lower
Renewed expectations the Fed will keep hiking rates have increased concerns about the economic outlook
Following the US Fed's monetary policy lead is not in the interest of emerging economies
The top US banking regulator at the Federal Reserve is urging Congress to pass legislation that would impose regulation on crypto currencies in the wake of the swift collapse last week of FTX, a leading crypto exchange. Michael Barr, the Fed's vice chair for supervision, said in prepared testimony released Monday that "recent events in crypto ... have highlighted the risks to investors and consumers associated with new and novel asset classes and activities when not accompanied by strong guardrails." Barr, who took office in July, is scheduled to testify before Congress Tuesday for the first time as vice chair. He did not refer specifically to FTX in his written remarks. Yet his appearance comes after FTX, the third-largest crypto currency exchange, formerly led by Sam Bankman-Fried, filed for bankruptcy Friday. The fall of FTX has rippled throughout the crypto world, with lender BlockFi pausing customer withdrawals. Barr said "some financial innovations offer opportunities, but as
Rupee likely at 81.68 by December-end, largely stable at 81.75 by March-end
A modest miss on U.S. inflation was enough to see two-year Treasury yields dive 33 basis points for the week and the dollar lose almost 4%
Analysts think it will not be a runaway rally from here on as the market valuations seem expensive
A slower pace of rate hikes could curb the dollar's rally this year which has weakened its Group-of-10 currency peers
Oil prices jumped after health authorities in top global crude importer China eased some of the country's heavy COVID curbs
Over the last three days of trade, the rupee had strengthened sharply against the US dollar, climbing to one-month highs. The domestic currency was at 82.89 on November 3
"The CPI report has reinforced the sell-off momentum in the dollar," said MUFG currency strategist Lee Hardman
In a highly uncertain global economic environment, realistic growth projections would reduce risks
Gold prices slipped on Tuesday as the dollar regained some ground, while investors braced for the U.S. inflation data later this week that could determine the Federal Reserve's future policy path