Govt must present a credible macroeconomic picture
The excess borrowing will, however, ease the pressure on the RBI's liquidity operation as banks will absorb the excess G-Secs
The cut-off yield for 10-year state development loans was at 7.60-7.65 per cent, whereas the 10-year government securities closed at 6.50 per cent.
The 10-year bond yields closed at 6.49%, which is more than 200 bps above the policy repo rate
Wary of supply, bond dealers asked for sharp increase in rates from state governments during Wednesday's auction.
According to the schedule, 19 states had lined up to borrow up to Rs 37,500 crore, but they managed to raise Rs 32,560 crore.
The states expect to borrow Rs 55,225 crore from the markets in April, against Rs 34,472 crore raised last year.
The funding need can change materially
Private placement of bonds would ensure the government gets the money it needs for its expenditure while there is no impact on the market
The government borrows from the market for the buyback, but it is not doing so for the next year
The larger economy suffers more than the central govt, as New Delhi is allowed to get away with behaving arbitrarily and then hiding the reality behind bogus numbers, writes T N Ninan
Since the scope of supporting growth through fiscal and monetary policy is fairly limited, economic revival will ultimately depend on policy reforms
RBI waiting for Budget numbers has surprised the bond market
For 2019-20, the budget estimate for the FCI is Rs 1,51,000 crore, of which Rs 1,06,000 crore has been released till November 15, he added.
All eyes are now on the government's financing plans for the fiscal second half due today, with traders concerned that the authorities could increase bond sales beyond the Rs 2.68 trillion set earlier
Whilst the noise on feasibility of budget numbers and risks on sovereign borrowing would persist in the near term, the budget outcome has certainly eased the job for RBI MPC to ease rates further
Nurturing a relationship with foreign investors is particularly important when it comes to the long-term objective of borrowing in times of a calamity
While sovereign bonds may help India get loans overseas at lower interest rates they are susceptible to exchange rate fluctuations
As per the Union Budget, the gross borrowing was pegged at Rs 7.1 trillion for 2019-20, higher than Rs 5.71 trillion estimated for the ongoing fiscal
This will allow the government to keep the borrowing space free for the higher demand by the state governments