Fitch has cut its forecast for India's GDP growth in the financial year ending March 2021 (FY21) to 0.8 per cent from a pre-pandemic forecast of 5.1 per cent
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Fitch had in December 2019 reaffirmed India's 'BBB-' rating with a stable outlook
The rating agency predicted two consecutive quarters of contraction or negative year-on-year growth in current fiscal -- (-)0.2 per cent in April-June and (-)0.1 per cent in July-September
Mexico, Brazil, Russia, South Africa and Turkey have all seen big GDP forecast adjustments
This is despite cash collection delays amid Covid-19 pandemic, as favourable regulatory frameworks ensure stable operating profits, rating agency says
S&P expects India's growth to bounce back in FY22
Agency says Covid-19 will disrupt firms Indian operations and also impact key auto markets globally that are served through its UK-based arm, Jaguar Land Rover
On March 20, Fitch had projected India's GDP growth for 2020-21 at 5.1 per cent, lower than 5.6 per cent estimated in December 2019
The funding need can change materially
"We expect growth to slide from 4.7 per cent YoY in Q4CY19 to 3.1 per cent in Q1CY20 and fall to -6.1 per cent in Q2CY20," said Sonal Varma, MD and chief India economist at Nomura.
Falling GDP in China is virtually unprecedented and, in the near term at least, these numbers look worse than most previous hypothetical 'hard-landing' scenarios
The difficulties facing the Indian economy have been exacerbated by Yes Bank failure, it said
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It forecast India's real GDP growth to pick up slightly to 5.4 per cent in 2020-21, from its estimate of 4.9 per cent in the current fiscal.
The central bank's takeover of Yes Bank appears intended to restore depositor confidence
Bharti has already paid Rs 10,000 crore towards AGR payments