India's CAD expanded to 2.7 per cent of GDP in the December quarter from 1.3 per cent in September quarter on account of higher import bill
The current account deficit was $9.9 bn in the second quarter ended Sep 2021 and $2.2 bn a year ago
In the preceding quarter, the shortfall stood at $9.9 billion or 1.3% of GDP, RBI data showed
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A feeble impact is already being felt, and if the conflict stretches way beyond March, it could have implications on growth, inflation, fiscal deficit and current account deficit
The rupee is the worst hit emerging market currency since the invasion of Ukraine by Russia and the resultant sweeping economic sanctions against Moscow
The report said although the Omicron-led Covid wave has subsided, the geopolitical risks to the global recovery have increased due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Geopolitical risks, hardening commodity prices may push it up more: Experts
The crisis is expected to increase prices of mineral fuels and oils, gems and jewellery, edible oils and fertilisers
High oil prices also feed into inflation, necessitating the central bank to be more hawkish in its monetary policy than it so far it has conducted itself
Net services receipts decreased marginally over the preceding quarter but increased on a year-on-year basis
India's widening current account deficit is set to put pressure on the fragile recovery, warns a brokerage report that has revised upwards its CAD forecast to $45 billion or 1.4% of GDP by March
However, current account deficit won't be unmanageable as was the case in 2011-13, say experts
Given the sharp increase in global commodity prices, particularly oil, concerns about current account deficit (CAD) and its serviceability have resurfaced
The surplus stood at 0.9% of the gross domestic product in the latest quarter
Experts say surge in gold imports contributed to widening of CAD in Q4FY21, in spite of spike in exports
However, the current account remained in surplus at 1.7% for Apr-Dec 2020 as against in a deficit of 1.2% in Apr-Dec 2019
India is the third most indebted country among major emerging markets, behind Argentina and Brazil.
India is likely to post a current account surplus after a gap of 17 years, the survey said
The performance of Indian equities will mirror a larger trend of EMs doing better than developed markets