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Cereal inflation likely to offset disinflationary forces, say experts

There is a possibility of a 10-15-million tonne drop in kharif rice production due to drought in several major growing states in eastern India

FAO estimates higher cereal output
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It said retail rice price inflation rose 9.3 per cent y-o-y as of July, and there were risks of a further rise

Sanjeeb Mukherjee
Wheat prices in some markets have touched Rs 2,522 a quintal and cereal inflation is expected to remain sticky in the months ahead due to low wheat stocks in central granaries. Nomura India in a report said lower rice output will put pressure on domestic rice prices. There is a possibility of a 10-15-million tonne drop in kharif rice production due to drought in several major growing states in eastern India.

“Though the government has ample rice buffer stocks, lower wheat procurement prompted higher allocation of rice under the free foodgrain scheme,” the agency said.

It said