Interest rate hikes by central banks around the world could trigger a global recession in 2023, the World Bank has warned, media reports said.
Synchronised interest rate hikes under way globally are likely to continue well into 2023, but might not be sufficient to bring inflation back down to levels seen before the pandemic, the bank said
However, the fall was not a sign of health in Britain's economy which is at risk of a recession
The global economy could avert a recession as data points to a potential soft landing, JP Morgan analysts said, while adding that the Federal Reserve might have "over-reacted" with the 75 basis point
"Economic data and investor positioning are more important factors for risky asset performance than central bank rhetoric," the strategists wrote. "We maintain a pro-risk stance"
Europe's woes have grown particularly acute in recent months as the region stares down the threat of a recession just as its central bank embarks on an aggressive campaign to tame inflation
The European Central Bank is set to join the U.S. Federal Reserve in making a jumbo interest rate hike Thursday as it tries to stamp out record inflation although it risks worsening a recession
"The longer inflation remains high, the greater the strain and the higher the potential for social conflict," Sewing said.
Recent gyrations, including a drop of more than 20% in Brent crude since early June, have prompted Riyadh to say an output cut could be necessary
Wall Street struggled to hang on to early gains while European shares deepened losses, hobbled by worries that tightening monetary policy around the world will hurt demand
Brent crude futures for October, due to expire on Wednesday, were down $3.56 at $95.75 a barrel following Tuesday's $5.78 loss
Goldman Sachs did caution the path ahead may not be smooth, especially if the greenback extends gains
World stocks slumped as the growing risk of more aggressive interest rate hikes in the US and Europe inflicted fresh pain on bond markets and pushed the dollar to new 20-year highs
According to stock exchange data, foreigners have invested $6.4 billion in Indian equities since the start of July, after dumping over $27 billion-worth over the previous six months.
China's yuan weakened to a two-year low, while sterling briefly touched its weakest since March 2020.
Purchasing managers' indexes due Tuesday will likely show private-sector output shrinking for a second month, adding to signs that a recession in the 19-nation euro zone is now more likely than not
Brent crude futures settled at $96.72 a barrel, gaining 13 cents. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude ended 27 cents higher at $90.77. Both benchmarks fell about 1.5% on the week
Oil fell on Wednesday to a 6 month low after a brief respite as concerns about the prospect of recession that would weaken demand overshadowed a report showing lower US crude & gasoline stocks
Oil prices rose, recovering from 6-month lows, as a larger-than-expected drop in US oil and gasoline stocks reminded investors that demand remains firm, if overshadowed by recession prospects.
The $620 billion Public Investment Fund also added to positions it held in Facebook Inc. owner Meta Platforms Inc., PayPal Holdings Inc. and Electronic Arts Inc. in the second quarter